Hybrid threats, strategic dependencies and sovereignty risks across the Amazon Basin, French Guiana and the South Atlantic.
A distinctive European vantage point to analyse geopolitical competition, hybrid threats and emerging strategic dependencies at the intersection of Europe, South America and the Amazon Basin.
Combining field experience, geopolitical analysis and proprietary intelligence frameworks to support decision-makers facing complex environments.
Assessing geopolitical exposure, emerging vulnerabilities and strategic implications for operations, investments and policy decisions.
Mapping hidden dependencies, influence networks and strategic vulnerabilities.
Providing decision-makers with concise analysis and forward-looking insights.
Analysing how strategic alignments evolve through the interaction of external influence, political networks, economic dependencies and institutional resilience.
Assessing the capacity of states, territories and organisations to withstand geopolitical pressure, strategic dependencies and hybrid challenges.
Mapping actors, networks and dependency structures to identify vulnerabilities, influence channels and strategic exposure.
Antoine Bachelin Sena is a French strategic risk analyst based in São Paulo since 2011, specialising in hybrid threats, strategic dependencies and sovereignty risks across Latin America.
His work focuses particularly on the Guiana Shield, French Guiana and the South Atlantic, where geopolitical competition, criminal networks, critical resources and institutional vulnerabilities converge.
Combining fifteen years of direct field experience in Brazil with a European perspective on sovereignty and state resilience, he analyses how state and non-state actors exploit jurisdictional asymmetries and strategic vulnerabilities.
He is the Founder & Director of Strategy of the Institut Atlantique Sud, developing research and advisory capabilities on French Guiana as Europe’s strategic frontier in the Amazon Basin.
Beyond public commentary, I provide structured analytical frameworks for institutional, corporate and strategic actors operating in high-risk environments across Latin America.
