SÃO PAULO • BRAZIL • 15 YEARS FIELD EXPERIENCE

Strategic Intelligence Advisory
for Latin America's Strategic Frontiers

Hybrid threats, strategic dependencies and sovereignty risks across the Amazon Basin, French Guiana and the South Atlantic.

Antoine Bachelin Sena
STRATEGIC FOCUS

French Guiana as Europe’s Strategic Frontier in the Amazon Basin

A distinctive European vantage point to analyse geopolitical competition, hybrid threats and emerging strategic dependencies at the intersection of Europe, South America and the Amazon Basin.

APPROACH

How I Help Institutions Navigate Strategic Uncertainty

Combining field experience, geopolitical analysis and proprietary frameworks to deliver decision-oriented insight and actionable recommendations.

Strategic Risk Assessment

Assessing geopolitical exposure, emerging vulnerabilities and strategic implications through multi-axis analysis and structured monitoring systems.

Node-Level Targeting & Dependency Mapping

Mapping critical nodes, influence channels and structural dependencies to support prioritised, high-impact interventions.

Executive Strategic Intelligence Briefings

Delivering concise, decision-oriented analysis with prioritised recommendations ranked by urgency, feasibility and expected impact.

PROPRIETARY FRAMEWORKS

Analytical tools for high-uncertainty environments

Three original frameworks designed to translate complex hybrid dynamics into structured, decision-oriented insight and actionable recommendations.

CAD™

Critical Alignment Dynamics

Analyses how political, economic and criminal alignments shift under external pressure and internal fragmentation. Identifies emerging coalitions, dependency patterns and points of leverage in contested territories.

Output example: Alignment map / Influence coalition matrix

SRI™

Strategic Resilience Index

Assesses the capacity of states, territories or organisations to absorb geopolitical pressure, hybrid interference and strategic dependencies. Highlights institutional strengths, structural vulnerabilities and potential breaking points.

Output example: Resilience scorecard / Multi-axis vulnerability dashboard

IEDM™

Institutional Exposure & Dependency Mapping

Maps actors, networks, financial and logistical flows to reveal hidden exposure and influence channels. Supports identification of concentration risks and structural vulnerabilities often missed by classical assessments.

Output example: Dependency map / Prioritised action matrix (0-3 / 3-6 months)

Interested in applying these frameworks to your context? Request a confidential briefing

HOW THE FRAMEWORKS ARE USED

The frameworks are applied to produce structured analytical products for institutional and strategic clients. Deliverables typically include multi-axis monitoring systems, prioritised operational recommendations, and decision-support matrices.

Recommendations are ranked by urgency and feasibility (immediate / 0-3 months / 3-6 months), with clear ownership suggestions and measurable indicators wherever possible.

The approach prioritises clarity and usability for decision-makers operating under time pressure and incomplete information.

Illustrative Analytical Outputs
Composite Structural Risk Score - Illustrative Example
Hybrid Risk Matrix - Illustrative Example
Radar Chart - Illustrative Example

Illustrative examples of analytical outputs produced with the frameworks (anonymised).

SELECTED STRATEGIC RESEARCH
July 10, 2026 The European Conservative
The French Guiana Paradox: Europe's Most Porous Strategic Frontier
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June 10, 2026 International Policy Digest
How U.S. Influence Backfired in Brazil
Read →